Yesterday saw me reveal the results of the first two World Cup polls that I will be carrying out both before and during this Summer’s World Cup. As I am working through the eight group in alphabetical order it brings us up to day two of our poll results and the predictions for Group B.

Before I take a look at how you voted, it is competition time. You can win a World Cup viewing kit! worth over £500 courtesy of Ideal Flatmate  Simply click here to be in with a chance of winning and best of luck if you do.

Right that is the potential prizes out of the way, let’s take care of the analysis of the Group B data that has been collated over the past 24 hours. The first poll that I carried out was to ask who will finish top out of the quartet of teams that will contest proceedings.

Of the 115 votes that were logged, just over three quarters believed that Spain are going to be top of Group B come its conclusion, 86 voters are backing Spain – that is just one less then the total amount of votes that were logged in the comparative poll for Group A.

With such a landslide, there was very little to be shared out between the remaining three teams, that said it was incredibly close as Portugal logged 12% of the vote, just three more than that of Iran,. Again like Saudi Arabia yesterday just how many legit voters actually went for Iran can neither be argued for or against

Thanks to the 115 votes in that poll and there was almost the exact same amount in the second of the two polls that I carried out. Again thanks to anyone who took the time to vote and to date 434 votes have been logged over the four polls, an average of 108.5 per poll. This will be an interesting metric going forward to see whether the polls are above or below the average sample.

This particular Group B poll did not perhaps have as much as a landslide as the winners prediction, but it was still a relatively emphatic majority for Portugal. Three fifths of all the votes reckon that Portugal will finish as runners-up in this group while just under a quarter believe that Spain will have to make do with second place.

It looks bleak for Herve Renard’s Morocco as there is little confidence in the Atlas Lions getting to the Round of 16, only 5% of voters believe they have any chance of doing so

Another way to look at this will be the combination data of the two polls to give an overall chance of progression

If we were to do this, then the percentage to qualify from Group B looks as follows:

Iran 10.00%
Morocco 4.00%
Spain 49.62%
Portugal 36.39%

Just under half the total votes have backed Spain to get out of Group B, with just over a third backing Portugal. One in ten total votes think Iran will progress while it diminishes to just one in twenty five for Morocco

Now we have more than one groups worth of polls, we can also start to list who twitter thinks will qualify:

Uruguay
Russia
Spain
Portugal

Whether they are correct we will have to wait and see while the breakdown of the data from Group C takes place tomorrow. Until then

 

I am always available for any football data projects you may have and/or content creation.
If you have any requirements then please feel free to contact me at realfootballmanwordpress@gmail.com with the subject line “Football Data”

I am also available via twitter at @dantracey1983 – again feel free to get in touch to discuss any work. Thanks, Dan