There were 34 goals scored in the group stages of the FIFA Confederations Cup, with those 34 being evenly split between Group A and Group B with there being 17 goals in either group.

I’ve built a model which can now tell us where those goals were scored within 15 minutes segments and the goals were scored as follows

All 34 group stage goals:

1–15 16–30 31–45 45+ 46–60 61–75 76–90 90+
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Group Goals 3 2 10 1 6 4 5 3
 % Split 8.82% 5.88% 29.41% 2.94% 17.65% 11.76% 14.71% 8.82%

As you can see the biggest bulk of the goals came in the 15 minute segment just before half time with 10 of the 34 being scored. Interestingly enough the next busiest segment was the 15 minutes after the restart which saw 6 goals scored. Adding those two together it meant that there were 16 goals scored in the 15 minutes before and after the restart.

Also the theory that goals are scored late was debunked slightly with only 8 goals (less than a quarter) in the last 15 minutes and injury time. An explanation of that could be that games have been relatively one sided therefore there is no real need to score so late in the game

If we take just Group A in isolation the split looks like this:

1–15 16–30 31–45 45+ 46–60 61–75 76–90 90+
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Confed Goals 1 2 6 0 2 2 2 2
 % Split 5.88% 11.76% 35.29% 0.00% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76% 11.76%

Here you will see that there is a much more even split in regards to the goals with 5 of the 8 goal segments having two goals scored but again the bulk of the goals is scored in that pocket of time just before the break with 6 out of the 17 goals netted (more than 33%)

If we take just Group B in isolation the split looks like this:

1–15 16–30 31–45 45+ 46–60 61–75 76–90 90+
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Confed Goals 2 0 4 1 4 2 3 1
11.76% 0.00% 23.53% 5.88% 23.53% 11.76% 17.65% 5.88%

The variance here is in a different layout to that of Group A with there being an equal amount of goals just before and after the break – this totals just under half of all the goals scored in Group B. But there are less first half goals compared to Group A, 9 were scored in the group containing Portugal while just 6 were scored in the group containing World Cup winners Germany.

With just four games left in the competition it will be interesting to see just how much different the split will look by the end of the week but if there is one thing we have learned going into the Semi Finals is that you should keep an eye out for goals in the range of 31 to 60 minutes. I will wrap things up next week and will see if that theory stands true

 

If you have any football data work available then please contact me at realfootballmanwordpress@gmail.com