It’s in the history books, Germany have won the UEFA Under 21 European Championships with a 1-0 win over Spain. In something of an upset on Friday night Stefan Kuntz’s young German side got the better of Albert Celades’ Spanish counterparts.
As you know by now that I’ve been carrying out a series of prediction polls over the past few days and lets now take a look at how Twitter fared yesterday
— Dan Tracey (@dantracey1983) June 29, 2017
As you can see Twitter got this one wrong and by some margin as well. It means that Germany Under 21 are 2 from 2 in terms of predictions with only an average of 42.2% of votes going their way across the two polls. In the two polls that Germany Under 21 have been involved in there has been a total of 90 votes.
Of those 90 votes, just 38 of them have been in favour of Germany, even though less than half of the poll data has gone in their direction they have come out on top on each occasion. Once of those was as the favourite and once as the underdog.
Again Twitter went with the bookmakers favourite but in fairness that was probably the expectation due to the fact that Spain were the tournament favourites going into the game, so the vote split should perhaps come as no real surprise.
Of the 45 votes in this poll (joint second highest poll), 29 of you voted for Spain and 16 voted for Germany. Those 16 people will be celebrating as they were on the winning side last night. Thanks to all that took the time to vote
In each of the five polls that have been carried out, social media has opted for the favourite on each occasion. But has only managed to get three of the five polls correct. Therefore Twitter is running at a 60% strike rate at present, but with such a small amount of polls carried out the swing in strike rate is going to be quite volatile, so no cause for concern just yet.
From the five matches, Twitter has been incorrect in these games:
Portugal vs Chile: Portugal Win, outcome Chile Win (on Penalties)
Spain vs Germany: Spain Win, outcome Germany Win (in 90 minutes)
So they can arguably count of themselves unlucky in the first instance but last night was something of an upset, although there is no underestimating just how talented this German team is.
In terms of total votes there have been 208 cast and as always thanks to anyone who has taken the time to vote, of those 208 there have been 107 correct picks. Meaning that the ongoing ratio of correct picks has dropped back down to 51.4%. Just a touch over half so Twitter is just about performing well anything under 50% and that would indicate that more often than not the picks are incorrect
Will Twitter be able to return to winning ways on Sunday with the FIFA Confederations Cup Final between Germany and Chile where Joachim’s Low side will look to emulate their Under 21 counterparts. The answer to that we will find out tomorrow night.
Please feel free to follow me on twitter and join in the polls and if this website has bought you there then please do say hello, also if you want to contact me in regards to any football data work that you currently have available then you can email me at firstname.lastname@example.org